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question:2. In an economy with risk neutrality and zero risk-free interest rates, a firm has two alternatives (e.g., technologies) to implement an investment project. Each alternative implies different cash flows in two scenarios (favorable and unfavorable). The firm must decide whether to invest in alternative A or B. The firm may obtain funding from lenders, who are aware of the alternatives but are not able to observe which alternative will choose the firm. The cost of both alternatives is 70. The project is just for one year and its cash flow depends of the final state of the nature. CASH FLOW 5 Unfavorable state (prob 50%) Favorable state (prob 50%) Alternative A 50 100 Alternative B 25 115 b. Which alternative will prefer shareholders if debt holders provide 40 to fund the initial investment in exchange of 40 promised in one year? Compute the Net Present Value for Shareholders. Explain with a table of cash flows.
answer:In an economy with risk neutrality and zero risk-free interest rates, the expected value of the different alternatives can be used to analyze which one might be preferred. In such an economy, the time value of money does not affect the decision because future cash flows do not need to be discounted. To decide which alternative is preferable, we must look at the expected cash flows for each alternative given the probability of the states of nature. In addition, since the firm is obtaining funding from lenders and shareholders are involved, we must consider the payoffs to both parties. Here's how we'll compute the net present value for shareholders: 1. Calculate the expected cash flows for each alternative. 2. Subtract the debt repayment of 40 from the cash flow to determine the residual cash flow that goes to shareholders. 3. Calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) for shareholders considering the initial equity investment. First, let's calculate the expected cash flows for both alternatives: **Expected Cash Flow for Alternative A** - Unfavorable state: 0.5 * 50 = 25 - Favorable state: 0.5 * 100 = 50 - Expected Cash Flow (A) = 25 + 50 = 75 **Expected Cash Flow for Alternative B** - Unfavorable state: 0.5 * 25 = 12.5 - Favorable state: 0.5 * 115 = 57.5 - Expected Cash Flow (B) = 12.5 + 57.5 = 70 The initial cost for each alternative is 70, so now let's see what the shareholders will get in each state after repaying the debt holders: **Cash Flows for Shareholders for Alternative A:** - Unfavorable state: min(50, 40) = 40 (debt holders receive the full 40, shareholders receive 10) - Favorable state: min(100, 40) = 40 (debt holders receive the full 40, shareholders receive 60) **Expected Shareholder Cash Flow (A)** - Expected Cash Flow (A) = 0.5 * 10 + 0.5 * 60 = 5 + 30 = 35 **Cash Flows for Shareholders for Alternative B:** - Unfavorable state: min(25, 40) = 25 (debt holders receive 25, no leftovers for shareholders) - Favorable state: min(115, 40) = 40 (debt holders receive the full 40, shareholders receive 75) **Expected Shareholder Cash Flow (B)** - Expected Cash Flow (B) = 0.5 * 0 + 0.5 * 75 = 0 + 37.5 = 37.5 The initial equity investment for both alternatives is the total cost (70) minus the debt financing (40), which is 30. Now, the Net Present Value for Shareholders for each alternative would be the expected shareholder cash flow minus the equity investment: **NPV for Alternative A:** - NPV(A) = Expected Cash Flow (A) - Initial Equity Investment - NPV(A) = 35 - 30 = 5 **NPV for Alternative B:** - NPV(B) = Expected Cash Flow (B) - Initial Equity Investment - NPV(B) = 37.5 - 30 = 7.5 Based on this calculation, shareholders will prefer Alternative B because it provides a higher Net Present Value (NPV) of 7.5 compared to Alternative A's NPV of 5. Shareholders will always choose the alternative with the highest NPV because it increases their wealth by the greatest amount.
question:c. Which alternative will prefer shareholders if debt holders provide 32.5 to fund the initial investment in exchange of 40 promised in one year? Compute the Net Present Value for Shareholders. Explain with a table of cash flows.
answer:If debt holders provide 32.5 in funding and expect 40 in repayment after one year, we must again compute the expected cash flows for both alternatives and then determine the residual cash flow that goes to shareholders after repaying the debt. Let's calculate the expected cash flows for both alternatives considering the new funding amount: **Expected Cash Flow for Alternative A** - Unfavorable state: 0.5 * 50 = 25 - Favorable state: 0.5 * 100 = 50 - Expected Cash Flow (A) = 25 + 50 = 75 **Expected Cash Flow for Alternative B** - Unfavorable state: 0.5 * 25 = 12.5 - Favorable state: 0.5 * 115 = 57.5 - Expected Cash Flow (B) = 12.5 + 57.5 = 70 **Cash Flows for Shareholders for Alternative A:** - Unfavorable state: 50 - 40 = 10 (shareholders receive 10) - Favorable state: 100 - 40 = 60 (shareholders receive 60) **Expected Shareholder Cash Flow (A)** - Expected Cash Flow (A) for shareholders = 0.5 * 10 + 0.5 * 60 = 5 + 30 = 35 **Cash Flows for Shareholders for Alternative B:** - Unfavorable state: 25 - 40 = 0 (debt holders receive 25, no leftovers for shareholders) - Favorable state: 115 - 40 = 75 (shareholders receive 75) **Expected Shareholder Cash Flow (B)** - Expected Cash Flow (B) for shareholders = 0.5 * 0 + 0.5 * 75 = 0 + 37.5 = 37.5 The initial equity investment for both alternatives is now the total cost (70) minus the new debt financing (32.5), which is 37.5. We can now calculate the Net Present Value for Shareholders for each alternative: **NPV for Alternative A:** - NPV(A) = Expected Shareholder Cash Flow (A) - Initial Equity Investment - NPV(A) = 35 - 37.5 = -2.5 **NPV for Alternative B:** - NPV(B) = Expected Shareholder Cash Flow (B) - Initial Equity Investment - NPV(B) = 37.5 - 37.5 = 0 Based on this calculation, shareholders will prefer Alternative B with a Net Present Value (NPV) of 0, since it is higher than Alternative A's NPV of -2.5. Despite both alternatives potentially losing money (since the NPV is not positive), Alternative B is the lesser of two evils because it does not destroy value like Alternative A does (given this level of debt financing). Here's a summary of the expected cash flows for shareholders: ``` Unfavorable (50%) Favorable (50%) Expected Value Alternative A: 10 60 35 Alternative B: 0 75 37.5 Initial equity investment: 37.5 NPV for Shareholders: Alternative A: 35 - 37.5 = -2.5 Alternative B: 37.5 - 37.5 = 0 ``` Based on the summary table and NPV calculations, shareholders would choose Alternative B over Alternative A under the new debt financing terms, simply because it results in no loss of value for them.
question:d. Propose one solution to choose alternative A. That is, what should the firm do to generate incentives for shareholders to choose alternative A (less risky and with higher NPV? Explain with a table of cash flows.
answer:To incentivize shareholders to choose Alternative A (which is perceived to be less risky with higher NPV for the firm but lower expected value to shareholders due to the debt structure), the firm could modify the financing terms or structure other incentives. One approach to achieve this is through implementing what's known as "equity sweeteners" or "warrants." These are incentives that give existing shareholders the right, but not the obligation, to buy additional shares of stock in the future at a fixed price, often below the predicted market value. This could make the investment in Alternative A more appealing. Here is how it might work: - Assume the firm issues warrants to the shareholders along with the shares they hold. The warrants allow shareholders to purchase additional stock at a price lower than the expected future market price but higher than the current share price. - As Alternative A is less risky, it is likely to have a more stable and predictable stock price in the future. Shareholders would benefit from the warrants if the stock price exceeds the exercise price of the warrants. - The idea is that the additional value from the possibility of exercising the warrants in the future can offset the lower expected returns from the project itself, making the alternative more attractive. Let's illustrate this with simplified numbers based on the same probabilities and cash flows as earlier, keeping the debt at 40 and equity at 30. **Cash Flows for Shareholders for Alternative A (with Warrants):** - Unfavorable state: 50 - 40 = 10 (shareholders receive 10 plus potential warrant value) - Favorable state: 100 - 40 = 60 (shareholders receive 60 plus potential warrant value) **Expected Shareholder Cash Flow (A) (with Warrants):** - Expected Cash Flow (A) for shareholders = 0.5 * (10 + Warrant Value) + 0.5 * (60 + Warrant Value) - We'll determine the Warrant Value such that it makes NPV of Alternative A positive and more attractive than B. For simplicity, let's assume that the Warrant Value needed makes the NPV of Alternative A just marginally higher than that of Alternative B. For Alternative B, the NPV was calculated as 0 (without considering warrants): **NPV for Alternative B:** - NPV(B) = 37.5 - 37.5 = 0 To make Alternative A have a positive NPV, we can set the expected warrant value, let’s say, to make NPV(A) equal to 1 (arbitrarily chosen for illustration): **NPV for Alternative A (with Warrants):** - NPV(A) with Warrants = Expected Cash Flow (A) + Warrant Value - Initial Equity Investment - NPV(A) with Warrants = 35 + Warrant Value - 37.5 We want the NPV(A) with Warrants > NPV(B), hence: - 35 + Warrant Value - 37.5 > 0 - Warrant Value > 2.5 So, the value that the warrants should bring to the table must be greater than 2.5 for the shareholders to prefer Alternative A. ```plaintext Unfavorable (50%) Favorable (50%) Expected Value Alternative A: 10 + Warrant Value/2 60 + Warrant Value/2 35 + Warrant Value Alternative B: 0 75 37.5 Initial equity investment: 37.5 NPV for Shareholders with Warrants (Assuming Needed Warrant Value > 2.5): Alternative A: (35 + Warrant Value) - 37.5 > 0 Alternative B: 37.5 - 37.5 = 0 ``` In practice, the specific warrant value would depend on many factors including future stock price projections, the exercise price of the warrants, and the risk profile of the firm and Alternative A. The firm's financial managers would need to carefully model these details to know the exact warrant parameters to offer. By providing such an incentive, shareholders will have the possibility of extra gains through the warrants, which could potentially offset the lower expected cash flows of Alternative A, making it the more attractive option despite the debt repayment structure. It's important to note that this is just an example and, in practice, a detailed financial analysis taking into account many other factors would be necessary.
question:3. Under the Modigliani Miller assumptions. Sr. John is the owner of 1000 shares of firm XXX. The capital structure of this firm is formed by shares and bonds. There are 10000 shares, the price of each share is 10€. There are 2000 bonds, the value of each bond is 50€. The firm will generate X as total cash flow (before interest) next year and then liquidate. a. Compute the cash flow Sr. John will receive next year.
answer:Under the Modigliani-Miller (M&M) assumptions, the capital structure of a firm does not affect its total value; in other words, the value of the firm is the same whether it is financed with debt or equity. This assumption also implies that the value of the firm is the sum of the market values of debt and equity. Given the firm XXX's capital structure as described, we have: - 10,000 shares priced at 10€ each. - 2,000 bonds priced at 50€ each. The total market value of equity (E) is: (E = 10,000 shares times 10€/share = 100,000€) The total market value of debt (D) is: (D = 2,000 bonds times 50€/bond = 100,000€) Assuming the firm will liquidate after one year, any cash flow generated by the firm (X) will be used first to pay the bondholders, and any remaining cash flow after paying the bondholders will be distributed to the shareholders. Since Sr. John owns 1,000 shares, to calculate the cash flow Sr. John will receive next year, we would need to know the total cash flow (X) generated by the firm. Without that information, we can only provide the general formulas. Here they are: 1. Cash flow paid to bondholders: ( min(X, D) ) 2. Residual cash flow to shareholders: ( (X - min(X, D)) ) Given that Sr. John owns 1,000 shares, his proportion of the total equity is: ( frac{1,000 shares}{10,000 shares} = 0.1 or 10% ) Therefore, the cash flow Sr. John will receive (CF_John) is 10% of the residual cash flow to shareholders, which can be calculated as: ( CF_{John} = 0.1 times (X - min(X, D)) ) Without the exact value of X, we cannot calculate the specific cash flow number Sr. John will receive. However, if X (the total cash flow generated by the firm) is provided, you would simply insert it into the formulas above to compute the exact amount.